SMO Insights Fri 2026-10-30: Phase +1 Bullish New +32.2% (-5.2%)

SMO Insights Fri 2026-10-30: Phase +1 Bullish New +32.2% (-5.2%)
Sector Strength Terrain Clock showing Phase +1 Bullish New. Two bullish industries are on the verge of flipping to bearish and four bearish industries are close to switching to bullish. Energy is uniformly strong. Consumer Cyclical, Healthcare, and Industrial are mostly strong, while Basic Materials, Financial, and Technology are mixed. Utilities is mostly weak. Communications is uniformly weak.

See About for more detailed background to this analysis.

Large MSS drop today along with the big market loss. Ninth day of new Bullish Phase. The previous Bearish phase was five days and the preceding Bullish phase lasted six days.

Goal: objectively determine what to do and when in the U.S. stock market
How: top-down, inside-out, and bottom-up market, sector, industry, sub-industry, and stock analysis; three unique tools 1) Market Strength Score, 2) Sector Strength Terrain Clock, 3) Strength Spectrums
Example actions: long vs. short, trend follow vs. mean revert, aggressive vs. conservative, days vs. weeks expected holding period
Basis: where are there strength pockets and how much may remain

Tools:
1. Sector Strength Terrain Clock, a single-day snapshot plotting sector and industry strength and the current Market Strength Score within the Six-Phase framework
2. Market Strength Score Gauge, a one year comparison of the Market Strength Score and the S&P 500
3. Industry Strength Scores by Sector showing comparative alphabetical views of sector and industry strength
4. Industry Strength Scores Ranked which groups the strongest and weakest industries to identify pockets of least and most extended setups
5. Sector and Sector ETFs High-Level Reports showing Strength Spectrums for the 11 sectors and the 11 sector ETFs
6. Sector Mid-Level and Detailed Reports showing Strength Scores and Strength Spectrums for sectors, industries, and sub-industries
7. Ranked Reports clearly showing where is the strength and weakness at the sector ETF, industry, and sub-industry levels

SMO Market Strength Score Gauge

Provides 12 month context against prior scores and the S&P 500 for today's MSS.

The one year MSS extremes are 75.2% on 2026-04-21 and -96.4% on 2026-10-01.

SMO Industry Strength Scores by Sector

The sectors are listed alphabetically and below each are their component industries listed alphabetically. The Six Phase thresholds are labeled along with the current Market Strength Score. This reveals sector strength breadth and depth.

SMO Industry Strength Scores, 2026-10-30: The Market Strength Score is 32.2%. Of the 40 industries tracked, 25 are bullish and 15 are bearish. Bullish industry scores range from 1% to 80%, led by Savings & Loans. Bearish industry scores range from -15% to -88%, with Gaming the weakest. At the sector level, 2 of 11 sectors are bullish and 9 are bearish.

SMO Industry Strength Scores Ranked

The industries are listed based on strength score, first strengthening industries then weakening industries. The Six Phase thresholds are labeled along with the current Market Strength Score. This reveals the least and most extended industries.

SMO Industry Strength Scores Ranked, 2026-10-30: With the Market Strength Score at 32.2%, the 40 industries rank from Savings & Loans at the top (80%) to Gaming at the bottom (-88%). Bullish phases: 1 in Phase +3, 24 in Phase +1. Bearish phases: 4 in Phase -3, 8 in Phase -2, 3 in Phase -1. Strongest 3: Savings & Loans (80%), Oil (47%), Household Goods (39%). Weakest 3: Gaming (-88%), Automotive (-87%), Metals (-84%).

SMO Sector and Sector ETFs High-Level Reports

The Sector Report lists the strength spectrum readings for the 11 sectors. The Sector ETFs Report lists the strength spectrum readings for the 11 sector ETFs. Each report also shows the combined strength spectrum for all stocks in this universe and for the major indexes S&P 500 and NDX.

This provides a broad overview of market strength and weakness pockets.

SECTORS (all stocks): Strongest 4Strong = CNNC, ENRG, UTIL | Weakest 7Weaker = BMTL | 10 strengthened / 1 weakened vs prior week | 1-wk avg return best INDS +2.5%, worst TECH -2.7%. SECTOR ETFs (constituents only): Strongest 3Stronger = XLE, XLP, XLU, XLV | Weakest 6Weak = XLC | 8 strengthened / 3 weakened | 1-wk avg return best XLY +3.0%, worst XLC -1.7%. Avg rating 4.1 vs 5.1 for all stocks (1=Strongest, 9=Weakest): ETF constituents are STRONGER than the broad sector universe.

SMO Sector Mid-Level and Detailed Reports

The following Sector Mid-Level and Detailed Reports provide more refined market strength pockets, potential relative lasting power for these strengths, and a logical foundation for potential stock-/option-specific actions.

The Sector Mid-Level Report below lists the strength spectrum readings for all stocks and the major indexes S&P 500 and NDX, then lists the same for key sectors and sector ETFs.
MID-LEVEL SUMMARY (2026-10-30): 40 sub-industries | Strongest 3Stronger = HOUS (CNCY), OIL (ENRG), INSU (FINA), UTG (UTIL) | Weakest 8VWeak = META (BMTL), PREC (BMTL) | 28 strengthened / 12 weakened / 0 unchanged vs prior week. 1-WK AVG RETURN: Best REST +6.3%, TEXT +4.3%, PROT +4.2% | Worst CHARD -5.1%, INTERNET -4.2%, PREC -3.7%. VS PARENT SECTOR: Standouts (2+ levels stronger) CHEMI 5Average vs BMTL 7Weaker, FORES 4Strong vs BMTL 7Weaker, STEEL 4Strong vs BMTL 7Weaker, HOUS 3Stronger vs CNCY 5Average, INSU 3Stronger vs FINA 5Average, WASTE 4Strong vs INDS 6Weak | Laggards (2+ levels weaker) CHARD 7Weaker vs TECH 5Average, SEMI 7Weaker vs TECH 5Average. SPECIALTY GROUPS: IYR 5Average↑, MAG7 5Average↓, AISpQntm 6Weak↑, IGV 4Strong↓, SOXX 7Weaker↑ (↑ strengthened, ↓ weakened vs prior week).
The Sector Detailed Report below expands upon the Sector Mid-Level Report by overlaying the Sector Strength Terrain Clock Industry Strength Scores and adding industry and sub-industry detail.
Broadly Strengthened: none Mixed leaning Strengthened: BMTL (12↑/6↓), COMM (7↑/2↓), CNCY (34↑/12↓), CNNC (7↑/2↓), INDS (20↑/8↓), REAL (10↑/3↓), UTIL (7↑/4↓) Mixed: ENRG (5↑/6↓), FINA (11↑/10↓), HCAR (8↑/6↓), TECH (11↑/11↓) Mixed leaning Weakened: none Broadly Weakened: none Overall: 132 strengthened vs 70 weakened (65% strengthened). Strongest rating occupied (2VStrong): -HshldProd (CNCY, 16), -BevWinery (CNNC, 3), -OilGasDrl (ENRG, 8), -FinDataEx (FINA, 11), -DrugMfgGn (HCAR, 16), -REITHotel (REAL, 12), -IT_DefGov (TECH, 4), -IT_SvcBPO (TECH, 15) Weakest rating occupied (9Weakest): -Uranium (BMTL, 7), -PrecMetal (BMTL, 9)

SMO Ranked Reports

The following provide strongest to weakest ranked views of the 11 Sector ETFs, 46 industries, and 149 sub-industries.

Sector ETFs Ranked Report

Eight of 11 ETFs strengthened for the week with XLP Consumer Staples, XLU Utilities, XLE Energy, and XLV Healthcare leading at 3Stronger. XLC Communications is weakest at 6Weak.

Industry Ranked Report

Five 3Stronger industries - Household Goods, Insurance, Regulated Electrical Utilities, Regulated Gas Utilities, and Oil. Only two 8Very Weak industries (Metals Non-Ferrous and Precious Metals).

Sub-Industry Ranked Report, Strongest and Weakest Only

The sub-industries report shows only those ranked 3Stronger, 2Very Strong, 1Strongest, 7Weaker, 8Very Weak, and 9Weakest.

For educational purposes only. These are not stock or investment recommendations. See this disclaimer.